Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG's Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week's data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 9_Yr 89.73 | 9_Yr 48.65 | 6_Yr 46.45 | 6_Yr 58.58 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 9_Yr 88.89 | 9_Yr 37.10 | 6_Yr 45.61 | 6_Yr 59.50 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 9_Yr 55.09 | 6_Yr 80.46 | 6_Yr 64.90 | 10_Yr 77.89 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 9_Yr 68.34 | 6_Yr 89.16 | 6_Yr 63.65 | 10_Yr 77.61 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 5_Yr 50.97 | 4_Yr 76.28 | 4_Yr 77.47 | 10_Yr 85.47 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 5_Yr 62.19 | 4_Yr 81.95 | 4_Yr 73.60 | 10_Yr 84.42 |