Richard Weissman
CCC – The Speculator’s Directional Dream Structure
May 27, 2022
Over the past few weeks, I’ve asked several options pros with over forty years’ experience about a specific options strategy that I developed for speculators which has limited downside risk and unlimited upside potential (like a long call option... more
Hedging the Forward Curve
Mar 23, 2022
I have always believed that every active hedge strategy needs to answer the following three-part question:
Percentage hedged Duration of the hedge Derivative instrument(s) used to hedgePercentage hedged “seems” fairly straightforward.... more
Charting the Basis for Commercial Hedgers
Feb 28, 2022
In this second of our series of articles on technical analysis for commercial hedgers we will look at using technical analysis to understand the basis and how it impacts the decision-making process for commercial hedgers.
What is the Basis?... moreThe Basics of Charting for Commercial Hedgers
Feb 07, 2022
Moving averages, oscillators, forward curves, spreads, basis graphs… charting can seem overwhelming to commercial hedgers who are simply seeking to dampen volatility and lock in profits on their physical production and/or consumption. In this... more
The One, Two, Three of Support and Resistance
Aug 23, 2021
I love creating sayings that drive home truths in technical analysis. One of my favorites has always been:
“First test good,
second okay,
third go the other way.”
So, what does it means? It means that the first test... more
Is December 2021 Corn Poised for a Breakout?
Jul 26, 2021
Since the May 7th high at $6.38/bu., CME Group December 2021 Corn futures have been trading in a sideways albeit large trading range with the $6.10-$6.38 area as resistance and $5.00-$5.15 area as support (See Figure 1 below).
Recent ADX... more
Will Biodiesel Demand Lead to a Paradigm Shift in Soybean Oil?
Jun 09, 2021
Prices for the actively traded July 2021 CME Group soybean oil futures reached all-time new highs in recent trading sessions (see Figure 1), spurred by increasing demand from the biofuels industry, a big piece of President Biden’s call to cut... more
The Commodity Supercycle is Priced in US Dollars
Mar 01, 2021
Over the past few months there’s been an increasing buzz about commodity prices… grains, crude oil, industrial and precious metals have all broken to the upside and one of the most uttered phrases on my newsfeed has been, “commodity supercycle”.... more
CME Group 2021 Corn – A Tale of Two Markets
Feb 01, 2021
Most commercial hedgers begin their analysis and hedge decisions with a look at the long-term trend and this means a monthly continuation chart (aka rolling front-month futures chart). As of January 29, 2021., this is what that chart was showing... more
Trading the News, Fading the News
Apr 27, 2016
This article examines how technical analysis can aid in trading around news events. One of the biggest misconceptions is that technical analysis is a “standalone” method and therefore, incompatible with fundamental analysis. How do I combine... more