Richard Weissman

CCC – The Speculator’s Directional Dream Structure

May 27, 2022

Over the past few weeks, I’ve asked several options pros with over forty years’ experience about a specific options strategy that I developed for speculators which has limited downside risk and unlimited upside potential (like a long call option... more

Hedging the Forward Curve

Mar 23, 2022

I have always believed that every active hedge strategy needs to answer the following three-part question:

Percentage hedged Duration of the hedge Derivative instrument(s) used to hedge

Percentage hedged “seems” fairly straightforward.... more

Charting the Basis for Commercial Hedgers

Feb 28, 2022

In this second of our series of articles on technical analysis for commercial hedgers we will look at using technical analysis to understand the basis and how it impacts the decision-making process for commercial hedgers.

What is the Basis?... more

The Basics of Charting for Commercial Hedgers

Feb 07, 2022

Moving averages, oscillators, forward curves, spreads, basis graphs… charting can seem overwhelming to commercial hedgers who are simply seeking to dampen volatility and lock in profits on their physical production and/or consumption. In this... more

The One, Two, Three of Support and Resistance

Aug 23, 2021

I love creating sayings that drive home truths in technical analysis. One of my favorites has always been:

“First test good,

second okay,

third go the other way.”

So, what does it means? It means that the first test... more

Is December 2021 Corn Poised for a Breakout?

Jul 26, 2021

Since the May 7th high at $6.38/bu., CME Group December 2021 Corn futures have been trading in a sideways albeit large trading range with the $6.10-$6.38 area as resistance and $5.00-$5.15 area as support (See Figure 1 below).

Recent ADX... more

Will Biodiesel Demand Lead to a Paradigm Shift in Soybean Oil?

Jun 09, 2021

Prices for the actively traded July 2021 CME Group soybean oil futures reached all-time new highs in recent trading sessions (see Figure 1), spurred by increasing demand from the biofuels industry, a big piece of President Biden’s call to cut... more

The Commodity Supercycle is Priced in US Dollars

Mar 01, 2021

Over the past few months there’s been an increasing buzz about commodity prices… grains, crude oil, industrial and precious metals have all broken to the upside and one of the most uttered phrases on my newsfeed has been, “commodity supercycle”.... more

CME Group 2021 Corn – A Tale of Two Markets

Feb 01, 2021

Most commercial hedgers begin their analysis and hedge decisions with a look at the long-term trend and this means a monthly continuation chart (aka rolling front-month futures chart). As of January 29, 2021., this is what that chart was showing... more

Trading the News, Fading the News

Apr 27, 2016

This article examines how technical analysis can aid in trading around news events. One of the biggest misconceptions is that technical analysis is a “standalone” method and therefore, incompatible with fundamental analysis. How do I combine... more