Weekly Grain Seasonal Review 5.15.24

Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG's Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.

Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week's data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.

Soybeans

Soybeans

This Week's Data    
Correlation Lookback (Days)2050100200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation3_Yr                    
83.34
3_Yr                    
21.88
4_Yr                    
62.74
4_Yr                    
65.81
Last Week's Data    
Correlation Lookback (Days)2050100200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation3_Yr                    
63.69
3_Yr
12.38
4_Yr                    
71.01
4_Yr
65.72

Wheat

Wheat

 

This Week's Data    
Correlation Lookback (Days)2050100200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation2_Yr                    
76.56
3_Yr                    
71.93
9_Yr                    
35.27
5_Yr                    
72.69
Last Week's Data    
Correlation Lookback (Days)2050100200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation3_Yr                    
87.13
3_Yr                    
80.72
5_Yr                    
63.97
5_Yr                    
79.61

Corn

Corn

This Week's Data    
Correlation Lookback (Days)2050100200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation3_Yr                    
45.05
3_Yr                    
54.40
9_Yr                    
43.92
8_Yr                    
73.93
Last Week's Data    
Correlation Lookback (Days)2050100200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation3_Yr                    
86.80
3_Yr                    
66.81
9_Yr                    
64.43
8_Yr                    
77.42

Disclaimer

Trading and investment carry a high level of risk, and CQG, Inc. does not make any recommendations for buying or selling any financial instruments. We offer educational information on ways to use our sophisticated CQG trading tools, but it is up to our customers and other readers to make their own trading and investment decisions or to consult with a registered investment advisor. The opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not reflect the opinions of CQG, Inc. or its affiliates.