Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG's Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week's data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 83.34 | 3_Yr 21.88 | 4_Yr 62.74 | 4_Yr 65.81 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 63.69 | 3_Yr 12.38 | 4_Yr 71.01 | 4_Yr 65.72 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 2_Yr 76.56 | 3_Yr 71.93 | 9_Yr 35.27 | 5_Yr 72.69 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 87.13 | 3_Yr 80.72 | 5_Yr 63.97 | 5_Yr 79.61 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 45.05 | 3_Yr 54.40 | 9_Yr 43.92 | 8_Yr 73.93 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 86.80 | 3_Yr 66.81 | 9_Yr 64.43 | 8_Yr 77.42 |