Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG's Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week's data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 8_Yr 69.13 | 9_Yr 44.97 | 5_Yr 28.68 | 9_Yr 9.93 |
| Three Week's Back Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 8_Yr 53.56 | 9_Yr 54.60 | 8_Yr 38.07 | 9_Yr 6.92 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 8_Yr 37.59 | 2_Yr 58.57 | 2_Yr 86.09 | 2_Yr 86.49 |
| Three Week's Back Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 5_Yr 54.17 | 5_Yr 65.86 | 2_Yr 85.64 | 2_Yr 85.16 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 7_Yr 84.49 | 10_Yr 76.58 | 10_Yr 71.92 | 8_Yr 43.54 |
| Three Week's Back Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 7_Yr 74.45 | 10_Yr 63.90 | 2_Yr 80.18 | 8_Yr 52.17 |