Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG's Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week's data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 2_Yr 93.60 | 9_Yr 83.12 | 9_Yr 63.32 | 5_Yr 51.91 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 78.80 | 9_Yr 73.45 | 9_Yr 58.35 | 5_Yr 55.73 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 9_Yr 86.76 | 6_Yr 68.91 | 5_Yr 39.72 | 5_Yr 64.85 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 67.54 | 6_Yr 71.96 | 5_Yr 39.67 | 5_Yr 64.78 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 85.93 | 9_Yr -5.07 | 8_Yr 64.40 | 8_Yr 63.05 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 81.87 | 8_Yr 11.53 | 8_Yr 64.03 | 8_Yr 62.26 |