Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week’s data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 6_Yr 54.85 |
8_Yr 76.64 |
2_Yr 24.24 |
4_Yr 62.75 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 7_Yr 63.01 |
8_Yr 62.72 |
2_Yr 28.49 |
8_Yr 62.91 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 5_Yr 89.83 |
5_Yr 82.54 |
9_Yr 48.56 |
6_Yr 80.69 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 7_Yr 89.12 |
5_Yr 73.43 |
9_Yr 41.57 |
8_Yr 75.61 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 6_Yr 11.59 |
3_Yr 77.33 |
2_Yr 58.41 |
6_Yr 50.00 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 7_Yr 78.61 |
3_Yr 75.09 |
2_Yr 68.55 |
6_Yr 44.60 |