Weekly Grain Seasonal Review 1.18.23

Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.

Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week’s data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.

Soybeans

Soybeans

This Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 6_Yr
53.89
2_Yr
71.16
6_Yr
69.98
4_Yr
52.86
Last Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 2_Yr
53.78
2_Yr
68.95
8_Yr
58.42
4_Yr
61.06

Wheat

Wheat

 

This Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 1_Yr
58.33
5_Yr
74.19
5_Yr
83.27
9_Yr
83.96
Last Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 1_Yr
48.82
7_Yr
75.97
5_Yr
79.35
9_Yr
84.41

Corn

Corn

This Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 5_Yr
35.23
3_Yr
40.94
5_Yr
60.63
4_Yr
63.11
Last Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 5_Yr
70.87
3_Yr
65.82
7_Yr
54.66
4_Yr
62.12