Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week’s data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 9_Yr 74.01 |
2_Yr 72.38 |
2_Yr 75.08 |
4_Yr 57.15 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 6_Yr 53.89 |
2_Yr 71.16 |
6_Yr 69.98 |
4_Yr 52.86 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 8_Yr 75.64 |
1_Yr 66.26 |
5_Yr 85.09 |
9_Yr 83.65 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 1_Yr 58.33 |
5_Yr 74.19 |
5_Yr 83.27 |
9_Yr 83.96 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 7_Yr 66.24 |
2_Yr 47.81 |
5_Yr 62.68 |
4_Yr 62.83 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 5_Yr 35.23 |
3_Yr 40.94 |
5_Yr 60.63 |
4_Yr 63.11 |