Weekly Grain Seasonal Review 1.4.23

Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.

Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week’s data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.

Soybeans

Soybeans

This Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 2_Yr
57.76
2_Yr
69.16
8_Yr
48.95
4_Yr
62.76
Last Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 8_Yr
81.67
8_Yr
70.46
8_Yr
44.73
4_Yr
63.70

Wheat

Wheat

 

This Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 2_Yr
72.47
5_Yr
78.70
9_Yr
69.06
9_Yr
83.56
Last Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 2_Yr
53.29
5_Yr
81.61
9_Yr
68.22
9_Yr
82.85

Corn

Corn

This Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 1_Yr
74.49
3_Yr
75.67
3_Yr
40.95
4_Yr
61.04
Last Week's Data        
Correlation Lookback (Days) 20 50 100 200
Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation 2_Yr
83.65
3_Yr
78.00
7_Yr
26.84
4_Yr
59.43