Commentary

Market Summary: June 13, 2021

Jun 14, 2021

Petroleum prices rose for a third consecutive week, reaching their highest levels since October 2018. A positive report from the EIA stating that global demand would reach pre COVID-19 levels by the end of the year touching 100.6 MBPD and... more

Will Biodiesel Demand Lead to a Paradigm Shift in Soybean Oil?

Jun 09, 2021

Prices for the actively traded July 2021 CME Group soybean oil futures reached all-time new highs in recent trading sessions (see Figure 1), spurred by increasing demand from the biofuels industry, a big piece of President Biden’s call to cut... more

Notes From Underground: Schauble Pivots, Brainard Postulates

Jun 07, 2021

The unemployment data was not as robust as expected but not bad since hourly wages rose above consensus, the work week remained elevated and the jobless rate dropped to 5.8%. The headlines are always subject to severe review doing these... more

Market Summary: June 6,2021

Jun 07, 2021

Petroleum prices reached two-year highs, gaining for the second consecutive week and fifth in the last six. Continuing expectations of demand recovery, a strong report from the EIA regarding demand increases for the balance of 2021 and evidence... more

Notes From Underground: An Open Letter To the G-7

Jun 04, 2021

Every G-7 or G-20 meeting homage is paid to the idea of free markets via the market driven value of each nation’s currency. This is hogwash of the highest order in the world of central bank asset purchase programs. The clarion call is that QE is... more

Crude Oil Looks Bullish

Jun 04, 2021

On April 20, 2020, nearby NYMEX futures did what few market participants believed possible. Not only did the price of a barrel of West Texas Intermediate drop below zero during the delivery period, but it also fell to a low of negative $40.32.... more

Market Summary: May 30, 2021

Jun 01, 2021

Petroleum prices increased for a fourth week in five, touching 31 month highs on Thursday before easing at week’s end. Accelerating demand growth in the US linked to improving economic barometers, constructive inventory reports, the start of... more

Notes From Underground: To Russia With Love (Or Blinken Blinked)

May 24, 2021

Ten days ago, we published a blog post titled, “Sanctions Are Sanctimonious.” And lo and behold, this past week the U.S. moved to remove sanctions on the completion of the NORDSTREAM 2 pipeline, allowing Russian gas to flow freely and... more

Market Summary: May 23, 2021

May 24, 2021

Petroleum prices experienced their largest weekly drop since March, falling for the first week in four primarily due to the emerging view that Iranian supplies will increase amid reports of progress in diplomatic discussions in Vienna that may... more

Notes From Underground: Is the Fed In a War?

May 17, 2021

I pose this question as a challenge to all of those traders and investors, and a call to action. There is so much discussion about the onset of inflation but do the inflationists have the fortitude to attack the FED where it hurts: the... more