Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week’s data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 1_Yr 34.02 |
10_Yr 59.54 |
4_Yr 57.14 |
1_Yr 70.06 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 8_Yr 81.91 |
8_Yr 69.61 |
8_Yr 60.85 |
1_Yr 89.69 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 2_Yr 56.58 |
3_Yr 32.47 |
8_Yr 85.91 |
8_Yr 67.84 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 5_Yr 21.70 |
3_Yr 66.76 |
8_Yr 86.59 |
8_Yr 66.95 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 2_Yr 82.35 |
2_Yr 62.14 |
8_Yr 78.13 |
1_Yr 67.47 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 2_Yr 75.31 |
2_Yr 31.95 |
8_Yr 86.24 |
1_Yr 69.99 |