Commentary

Over the past four months, crude oil has declined about $50. However, during the past fourteen trading days, March crude oil had been rotating within a 4538-to-5078 balance range. On Friday, January 23, 2015, the market took out the 4538 fourteen... more

Today's Lows are Tomorrow's Highs

Copper fell 15.78% on COMEX and 14.59% on the London Metal Exchange in 2014. Copper has been making lower highs and lower lows since July 2014. The copper market has just moved into a new zone and the... more

Over the past two months, February gold has been rotating within a 11469-to-12390 balance range. However, over the past four trading days, gold was confined to a relatively tight 12054-to-12233 balance range. When a volatile market such as gold... more

Over the last thirty trading days, the February/April natural gas spread has come off sharply about 800 points, leaving several gaps along the way. A few weeks ago, after the spread fell about 500 points in ten days, the market came into a... more

The dollar is still the world's reserve currency and there is an inverse relationship between the greenback and commodity prices.

The Dollar and Commodities

In 2014, the dollar was a big winner and many commodities were losers.... more

This article will try to illuminate why most retail traders fail at speculative trading. I would argue that the simplest reason for failure is that they are fighting the path of least resistance. Looking at the chart below (Figure 1) of the spot... more

Many speculative traders are attracted to short-term or intraday trading for a wide array of reasons. These reasons include the fact that trades executed are typically lower risk as well as superior winning percentages when compared to trades... more

As a devoted CQG trader, investor, portfolio manager, hedger, etc., how does high frequency trading (HFT) affect the way you do business? Some might say that you can't get a good fill at your price, while others have just thrown their collective... more

Although most mathematical technical indicators focus on capitalizing on either trending behavior by using tools like moving averages (see Trend Following Kept Simple: The 200-Day Simple Moving Average) or on counter-trending action through... more

Daryl Guppy developed a trend-following technique using twelve exponentially-weighted moving averages. The twelve periods featured in his books are 3, 5, 8, 10, 12, 18, 30, 35, 40, 45, 50, and 60. The 3-, 5-, 8-, 10-, 12-, and 18-period... more