Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG's Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. In addition, the seasonal data lines can be pulled into Excel using RTD formulas.
Below each chart are two tables. The first table is the highest correlation of the current market data to the seasonal year using a 20-day, 50-day, 100-day and the 200-day lookback periods. The second table is the previous week's data. Seasonal analysis is about price direction or the trend.
Soybeans
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 6_Yr 80.13 | 6_Yr 64.35 | 8_Yr 70.20 | 8_Yr 75.29 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 4_Yr 70.65 | 3_Yr 83.33 | 8_Yr 81.16 | 8_Yr 70.19 |
Wheat
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 6_Yr 86.12 | 4_Yr 30.36 | 3_Yr 36.41 | 10_Yr 82.75 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 32.58 | 6_Yr 16.75 | 3_Yr 28.46 | 10_Yr 82.79 |
Corn
| This Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 10_Yr 87.49 | 10_Yr 74.08 | 10_Yr 63.27 | 3_Yr 87.31 |
| Last Week's Data | ||||
| Correlation Lookback (Days) | 20 | 50 | 100 | 200 |
| Seasonal Year Back with the Highest Correlation | 3_Yr 61.42 | 4_Yr 62.42 | 10_Yr 56.66 | 3_Yr 87.48 |