Commentary

Over the past month, June gold has been trading within a 11822-to-12245 balance range. However, over the past two weeks, the daily ranges have been getting pinched smaller and smaller, forming a triangle formation. The relatively tight range on... more

Over the past three weeks, May crude oil has been trading within a 4714-to-5407 balance range. However, over the past five days, the daily ranges have been gradually shrinking, essentially getting squeezed into a triangle formation. Many times... more

The rally in the US Dollar that commenced in May 2014 continued to gain steam throughout much of the first quarter of 2015. The reserve currency of the world has an inverse relationship with commodity prices. In this piece, I describe how... more

Soybean and corn prices have certainly turned around over the past few years. After reaching highs during the aftermath of the 2012 drought, prices have gone south. In 2012, corn traded to highs of almost $8.50 per bushel while soybeans reached... more

During the last few weeks, the April/May RBOB calendar spread has formed a rotational range of -78 to +99. However, over the past seven trading days, the trading range has shrunk to 0 to +55. A 55-tick range for the spot RBOB spread is very... more

The price of active month NYMEX crude oil is what everyone is focusing on these days, but that price is only a view from thirty thousand feet of what is actually going on in the global oil patch. There is so much more to the price of crude oil,... more

The bull market in the dollar continues to power forward. The US dollar index was up 11.97% in 2014. So far this year the greenback is up another 5.16%. The dollar is one of the strongest markets I see out there these days. Fundamentals for the... more

Over the past three weeks, April crude oil found a rotational balance range of 4867-to-5505, traveling from the bottom to the top and back to the bottom of that range a few times. However, three times in the last three days, the market traded... more

For eight straight trading days, March natural gas has been contained within a 2665-to-2896 rotational balance range. On Friday, February 20, 2015, the market gapped open higher, above the 2896 eight-day balance high. Although Friday had a... more

Commodity prices continue to be in a bear market. Industrial raw material prices have plunged over recent months. The price of crude oil halved since June. Iron ore prices have plummeted, and recently the price of copper dropped below long-term... more