Commentary
Assessing Monetary Policy Through The Taylor Rule
Apr 18, 2022
AT A GLANCE
Where rates go once the Federal Reserve reaches a point of neutral policy will be a key point for the jobs-inflation trade-off The Taylor Rule today, and for some time in the past, has been suggesting the Fed needs to start... more
How Rising Rates Could Influence Tech Earnings
Apr 18, 2022
AT A GLANCE
Rising rates tend to hurt growth stocks, but across the last five rate hike cycles, the Nasdaq median gain was nearly 27% Inflation and supply chain constraints will continue to be a theme, and earnings forecasts may be muted as... more
Energy Market Summary April 17, 2022
Apr 18, 2022
Petroleum prices increased for the first week in three and second in six in a holiday shortened week. Prices surged
despite a sizable Crude release from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve as well as relaxed ethanol restrictions for the
... more
Wednesday Weekly Grain Seasonal Review 4.13.22
Apr 13, 2022
Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here.
Seasonal analysis... more
Energy Market Summary: April 10, 2022
Apr 11, 2022
Petroleum prices fell for a second consecutive week and fourth in five, driven primarily by details of a release of more than 180 MB from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve that will be done in conjunction with the IEA that will release an... more
Notes From Underground: Time to Escalate and Deescalate the Fed and Putin?
Apr 11, 2022
There was an article in Foreign Affairs this week by Graham Allison, the dean of American political scientists, titled, “Putin’s Doomsday Threat: How to Prevent a Repeat of the Cuban Missile Crisis in Ukraine.” The piece raises an important... more
Crude Oil: Cause or Effect of Inflation?
Apr 08, 2022
AT A GLANCE
Crude oil has averaged a 16.06% rise in price in the six months following the start of each of the Fed’s last six rate hike cycles In the first 10 days following the Fed’s March announcement of a 25 bps rate hike, WTI front month... more
The Roundtable Insight: Louis-Vincent Gave and Yra Harris on Bretton Woods III and Kicking Europe out of Asia
Apr 07, 2022
Louis-Vincent Gave - CEO. Louis-Vincent Gave co-founded GaveKal in 1999 with his father Charles and Anatole Kaletsky. GaveKal started as an independent research firm and evolved in 2005 to include fund management and in 2008 to include... more
The Roundtable Insight - Kushal Thaker and Peter Boockvar on the Economy and the Financial Markets
Apr 07, 2022
Author Kushal Thaker’s new book “Be Rich with Specunomics” is an insightful guide for readers looking to intelligently build financial growth
Kushal Thaker, who has been a consultant to many institutions, corporates, and wealthy... more
Wednesday Weekly Grain Seasonal Review 4.6.22
Apr 06, 2022
Each Wednesday this article will be updated with the current seasonal study using CQG’s Seasonal analysis applied to the Soybean, Wheat and Corn markets. You can download the CQG pac providing the studies and charts here. Seasonal analysis is... more